Team FPL Connect Picks: Gameweek 18

Fantasy Premier League tips from the team at FPL Connect ensuring you have those key performing players as well as a few cheeky differentials to get the jump on your rivals from gameweek to gameweek

Hello and welcome to all the FPL managers around the world. The latest instalment of our ‘Team FPL Connect Picks’ is here!

Before we continue, there’s been another slight change to the scoring system introduced from last week.

We’ve noticed that it’s actually very difficult to predict the top-scoring player of the week and we felt like it would be a good idea to reward our TSP choices with a point if they score 10+, as 10+ points represents a decent effort and return.

This is now in effect and started last week.

If you’re just reading this series for the first time and have absolutely zero idea what this article is about, hit the updated link > https://fplconnect.blog/2017/08/10/team-fpl-connect-picks/ where the concept is introduced and explained fully.

Gameweek 17 results

Screen Shot 2017-12-15 at 14.27.02

Simon

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Coutinho – 15pts
  • Predicted differential; Lingard – 8pts

Gaz 

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Kane – 17pts
  • Predicted differential; Lanzini – 8pts

Pilko

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Agüero – 17pts
  • Predicted differential; Austin – 13pts

It’s fair to say that Team Connect had a bad week at the office. None of us managed to get a single point in what was a fairly grim week for a lot of us FPL managers.

Liverpool didn’t play well against WBA, United weren’t great against Bournemouth, Kane couldn’t get involved and Agüero could only manage the 1 goal in a City 4-0 romp in South Wales.

That means that everything stays the same on the Connect Leaderboard and with that, we’ll move onto next week!

Gameweek 18 picks

Simon

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Sánchez – 16pts
  • Predicted differential; Özil – 7pts
Embed from Getty Images

 

Justification for TSP: I’ve gone with Alexis here because that stats are telling me too – if only it was that easy right? Well, over the last 6 gameweeks, Alexis tops the list in the PL, of any player, for xG (expected goals) with a value of 4.05 to Harry Kane (3.69), Alexandre Lacazette (3.65) and Mohamed Salah (3.56). He is also only beaten by Salah and Kane for goal attempts over that period. We know his quality and Newcastle have been woeful recently, with 7 losses in their last 8 PL games, conceding 18 in that time. We haven’t had an Alexis Sánchez explosion yet and based on the stats, it could well come this weekend. Newcastle watch out!

Justification for differential: Özil has quietly been going about his business, picking up 2 goals and 5 assists in his last 8 PL starts. He’s blanked 3 times on the bounce now, but faces a struggling Newcastle side on the weekend and I don’t think Rafa’s men are going to be able to stop Arsenal’s attacking talent and I can see Özil being amongst the assists in this one. He tops xA (expected assists) of any midfielder over the last 6 gameweeks with a value of 2.10 to D. Silva (1.94) and de Bruyne (1.91), so the underlying stats back it up.

Gaz

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week);  Mané – 15pts
  • Predicted differential;  Sigurdsson – 9pts
Embed from Getty Images

 

Justification for TSP: It’s been a stop-start type of season for Mané this year, but he’s finally starting to get consecutive starts and although he’s blanked in his last 2 PL games, he rarely goes too long without returning. There’s been 16 goals between these two sides in the 4 times they’ve played each other at Bournemouth and I’m expecting there to be goals again in this one and if there is, I can see Mané stealing the show with a brace. Liverpool have conceded 17 goals in 8 games on the road so far and as Howe said in his press conference today, they like to take the initiative and attack teams, so it’s hard to see there not being goals in this one. Salah has had the limelight, so has Coutinho, it’s Mané’s turn!

Justification for differential: Siggy is finally clicking into gear, although he’s another that’s blanked in his last 2 PL games. Allardyce said in today’s presser that Siggy affected by a lack of a real pre-season and that made it harder to him when he first arrived, but he’s finally getting the starts and the returns. 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 6 gameweeks is modest, but decent for his price. Everton face Swansea on Monday night football – Siggy’s most recent old team – so there’s always an extra edge added to the game for the player and Siggy tends to do well when he plays against his former clubs, with goals coming against Spurs, a distinct memory of mine. I fancy him to score against his former club to really rub in what I expect to be a comfortable home victory.

Pilko

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week);  Hazard – 16pts
  • Predicted differential;  Kenny – 10pts
Embed from Getty Images

 

Justification for TSP: Hazard disappointed his owners the last 2 matches, with blanks in both, but I expect him to come back all guns blazing and pay them all back in full when Southampton rock up to Stamford Bridge. Southampton were on the end of a surprising 4-1 home crushing at the hands of their former manager Claude Puel and his new Leicester team – not really what you want just before going to Chelsea. Hazard is 5th for xG behind Sánchez, Kane, Lacazette and Salah with a value of 3.07 for the last 6 gameweeks. He’s also been passing the eye test, despite blanking recently. Morata is back on the weekend and if he starts, Hazard is free from the central f9 role that seems to hinder his goal threat somewhat, where he seems to be tasked more with creation than being the finisher. I can see a comfortable 3/4-0 win for Chelsea, with Hazard bagging a brace.

Justification for differential: What a turnaround it has been at Goodison since Big Sam came in! Everton’s hierarchy must be regretting not getting him in sooner after sticking with Unsworth for over a month. As has happened many a time when Sam takes over a struggling club, the clean sheets have started to flow. 3/4 cleanies since he took over, with the only goal conceded, a worldly from Salah in the Derby. I’m banking on another clean sheet, with an assist (hopefully for the ex blade DCL – yes I’m a blades fan, see you next year!) to get him up to double figures with some bonus.

Stats provided by fantasyfootballscout.co.uk

Screen Shot 2017-12-07 at 19.29.17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s

Blog at WordPress.com.

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: