FPL Captain Metric: Gameweek 26

We explore the best options for the Fantasy Premier League captain for Gameweek 26 and reveal the results of our captain poll and our new captain metric, who will you choose this gameweek?

BEFORE WE BEGIN: If you haven’t already seen, we released an article earlier introducing the new ‘Captain Metric’, which explains the concept fully and it can be viewed here > ‘The Captain Metric Explained…’

Well, it was the underdog Raheem Sterling, backed by only 10% of a whopping 3.5k of Twitter voters, that won the day, with a brace of assists and 10pts, over Salah (8pts) and Agüero (6pts).

The captain metric backed against the majority of voters and showed us that, based on relevant stats, Salah was the best choice and with his penalty, he won out over Agüero, who just about managed a goal in the 90th minute against WBA.

However, it did suggest that Sterling was the worst choice of the three, so mixed results thus far for the captain metric.

Gameweek 26 seems a more difficult choice, perhaps a week for a differential captain?

Results of our poll

Screen Shot 2018-02-01 at 16.49.25

Agüero – 41% of the votes

Performance over the last 5 gameweeks:

  • 19 total goal attempts.
  • 17 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 5 big chances.
  • 5 goals.
  • 1 assist.

Salah – 22% of the votes

Performance over the last 5 gameweeks:

  • 21 total goal attempts.
  • 15 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 8 big chances.
  • 4 goals.
  • 1 assist.

Kane – 23% of the votes

Performance over the last 5 gameweeks:

  • 25 total goal attempts.
  • 17 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 5 big chances.
  • 3 goals.
  • 0 assists.

 

Differential captain options

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  1. Sánchez – Well on paper, this is the captain candidate that stands out, perhaps dented slightly by last night’s fairly abject performance against Spurs however. Spurs trampled all over them and made them look like kids in a playground at times, but United aren’t playing Spurs next, they’re at Old Trafford against a side that haven’t won in 7 Premier Leagues and have conceded 12 in their last 5 in the form of Huddersfield. This will be Sánchez’s first game in front of his new fans and he and they (United) will want to bounce back after that defeat and I think they will. He hasn’t performed particularly that well in his first 2 games for the Red Devils, but he has no excuses this weekend and at still only around 4% ownership, represents a potentially huge differential captain option.
  2. Aubameyang – Perhaps a slightly more unique and interesting differential captain, with the Gabonese striker joining Arsenal only yesterday. But there’s always an added incentive to perform well when it’s your debut in front of your own fans and Arsenal are scoring goals well at home, with 27 goals in their last 10 home games, 4 of which were against Spurs, Liverpool and Chelsea on 2 occasions. Not only that, but Everton have conceded the most amount of big chances (16) of any team in the last 5 gameweeks. They’ve also enjoyed this fixture in recent years, with them winning 5-2 against Everton this year and beating them 3-1, 2-1, 2-0 and 4-1 the last 4 times they’ve played them at The Emirates. This guy is a class act and natural born goal-scorer, coming from 141 goals in 213 appearances for Dortmund, so I expect him to start up front and to hit the ground running for Arsenal.
  3. Callum Wilson – Bournemouth and Wilson are on the up, following a fantastic string of performances and results that have seen them beat Everton, Arsenal and Chelsea in the last 6 gameweeks. In that time, Wilson has been instrumental for them in an attacking sense, with 4 goals and 2 assists. With Stoke up next at home, following their magnificent 3-0 win at Stamford Bridge, the morale will be through the roof and they will fancy their chances massively. Stoke weren’t particularly solid against Watford last night and were lucky not to concede with Watford missing 3/4 very good opportunities. At 6.1% ownership, given the fixture and form, Wilson really could be worthy of a captain punt this week!

My view… 

I think this week is a great week for a differential captain option.

If you’re lower down the ranks or trying to catch a mini-league leader, then this is the week to go for something different.

There is no stand-out option for the masses and the %’s of captains will be fairly divided.

Sánchez is the best option on paper in terms of a differential captain option, but at his price he will be difficult to swing for a lot with such good value on offer in midfield.

I also get the feeling that United are going to struggle against Huddersfield having watched both the Huddersfield-Liverpool and Spurs-United matches.

Along with City, Liverpool are one of the best attacking units in the league and whilst they netted 3 goals, one was a deflected screamer, one was a goalkeeper error letting a shot in at the near post from a near impossible angle and the last was a penalty that was fairly soft – they struggled to open up Huddersfield from open play and I can see United struggling if The Terriers set up similarly, which they can be expected to do so.

So, I’m actually not keen on Sánchez this week after watching those games.

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My differential captain punt suggestion would be Aubameyang or Wilson.

In terms of the key captain options, I think Salah is the one if you want to play it safe. With him seemingly now on penalties too having taken one on Tuesday with Milner on the pitch, it only serves to increase his overall value.

I think the Liverpool v Spurs game will be an openly contested affair with goals in and Mo is just so reliable, whereas I can see Burnley really frustrating City.

The Captain Metric says…

Screen Shot 2018-02-01 at 15.54.06

Mohamed Salah.

A closer one this week, but Salah wins out 2-1-1 down to his form and his team’s form being better than that of Kane and Agüero and their respective teams.

Liverpool have created the most amount of big chances over the last 5 gameweeks (14), to Spurs’ 13 and City’s 11, but as you can see, it’s hardly definitive.

Salah’s form however, is quite superior to Agüero’s and Kane’s and his reliability and the fact he’s seemingly been confirmed as Liverpool’s number 1 penalty-taker, as well as being classed as midfielder despite operating as a forward essentially, make him such a good candidate every week in comparison to the premium forwards.

Agüero has the better fixture on paper according to big chances conceded over the last 5 gameweeks, but it’s not enough to give him the win, with his ICT Index score being far inferior to that of Kane and Salah’s.

So for the second week running, Agüero wins our poll, but Salah wins the metric.

Stats obtained from www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk

keep-calm-and-thanks-for-reading-7

 

 

 

 

 

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