Team FPL Connect Picks: Gameweek 27

Fantasy Premier League tips from the team at FPL Connect ensuring you have those key performing players as well as a few cheeky differentials to get the jump on your rivals from gameweek to gameweek

The team is back with our picks for gameweek 27, following a break due to the quick turn around last gameweek.

If you’re just reading this series for the first time and have absolutely zero idea what this article is about, hit the updated link > https://fplconnect.blog/2017/08/10/team-fpl-connect-picks/ where the concept is introduced and explained fully.

Gaz – (4 time top 100k finisher, last season finishing 35k).

Pilko – (3 time top 10k finisher, last season finishing 125k).

Simon – (3 time top 200k finisher, last season finishing 11k).

Gameweek 25 results

Screen Shot 2018-02-09 at 12.27.06

Simon

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Eden Hazard – 16pts
  • Predicted differential; Choupo-Moting – 8pts

Gaz 

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week);  Kun Agüero – 16pts
  • Predicted differential; Milivojevic – 8pts

Pilko

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Firmino – 16pts
  • Predicted differential; Theo Walcott – 9pts

Not a memorable week for Team Connect in general.

Having said that, struggler Pilko nailed his differential pick in Theo Walcott who scored a mightily impressive 15 pointer against Leicester, giving him 2 points for his predicted differential scoring 10+ points, narrowing the gap to myself.

For me and Gaz, it was a bleak week.

My TSP pick of Hazard doing what he does best and trolling with a blank in a plum home fixture against Bournemouth, where they shockingly lost 3-0.

Gaz’s TSP pick of Agüero just about managed a goal in the 90th minute against WBA, only giving him 6pts, so nothing there.

Both our differentials were flops, with Choupo getting just 3pts in a dull 0-0 draw between Stoke and Watford, whilst Gaz timed his differential pick poorly with Milivojevic returning in GWs either side of the GW he went for!

Onto next weeks picks!

Gameweek 27 picks

Simon

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Alfie Mawson – 15pts
  • Predicted differential; Alexis Sánchez – 9pts
Embed from Getty Images

 

Justification for TSP:

The last time I went for a defender for my top scoring player of the week prediction, I nailed it with Otamendi, so naturally, I have a soft spot for a defender pick when I get the urge.

This week, I have a gut feeling about Alfie Mawson.

In the last 4 gamweeks, where Swansea have played Newcastle away, Liverpool at home, Arsenal at home and Leicester away, he’s scored a goal, bagged an assist, kept a clean sheet and has registered 4 shots on goal, 2 of which were big chances, which is the joint highest (with Monreal, Stephens and Koscielny) amount of big chances received over that period of all the defenders.

With Burnley next, a team that aren’t the most prolific goalscoring team and have failed to score in recent away games to Huddersfield and Palace, I can see a clean sheet and Mawson popping up with another goal for a big 15 pointer!

Justification for differential:

With Sánchez bang on 5% ownership at the time of picking, I’ve just about got it in time before he inevitably creeped over the 5% mark where I wouldn’t of been allowed him!

As I stated in the ‘Captain Metric‘ article for this week, his performance against Huddersfield last gameweek was extremely convincing, with him having more shots than anyone in that gameweek (6) and setting a record for the number of times a player was fouled during a game.

With his first United goal to his name, he’ll be hungry for more and as I say in the captaincy metric article, Newcastle have perhaps been slightly fortunate to have not conceded more goals recently, with 12 big chances conceded in the last 5 gameweeks, despite only conceding 6 goals in that time.

Sánchez and co represent much higher attacking quality than the teams they’ve faced in the last 5 games (City aside) and I can see United winning comfortably with Alexis involved.

Gaz

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Harry Kane – 16pts
  • Predicted differential; Jordan Ibe – 5pts
Embed from Getty Images

 

Justification for TSP: 

I had to go big Harry for his favourite fixture – the man lives for these North London Derby’s.

I’m not going to repeat the stats, because we all know them but more than that, he’s in great form with 4 goals in his last 4 games and is well on course to beat his best tally of 29 Premier League goals to date and bag a 3rd consecutive golden boot, with 22 goals already to his name with 12 gameweeks left.

Salah being hot on his heels with the goals is perfect for Kane, as it keeps his motivations for his personal accolades well and truly at it’s highest.

Rather worryingly for Arsenal, they have conceded the second highest amount of big chances (14) of any team over the last 5 gameweeks and only Brighton, Everton and Huddersfield have conceded more goals than they have in that time.

So, everything points to Harry having another good day against the Gunners and I can see a big return from him.

Justification for differential:

Simon discussed Ibe on Who Got The Assist’s podcast this week, but for those that haven’t listened, Ibe has had 21 goal attempts (9 inside the box), 18 penalty area touches and created 8 chances in the last 6 gameweeks.

He’s also managed to return 3 assists and score a goal in that period, which, at his price of £4.9m, is extremely nice.

With a leaky Huddersfield defence up next and Bournemouth really on the surge, I can see Ibe bagging another assist.

Pilko

  • Predicted TSP (top scoring player of the week); Mohamed Salah – 15pts
  • Predicted differential; Gerard Duelofeu – 9pts
Embed from Getty Images

 

Justification for TSP: 

It’s taken me this long to decide something very obvious; always captain Salah! The mans insane! He’s a points machine.

He is on track to get to the holy grail of 300 points in an FPL season, with him currently averaging 8.16 FPL points per game.

In the last 4 gameweeks, only Kane (22) beats Salah (18) for total goal attempts and again, only Kane (7) beats Salah (5) for big chances received in that time.

Whilst Saints put on an impressive display against Spurs in a 1-1 draw of recent, Liverpool are more much more direct in their attacking play and like they did against them earlier in the year, where they beat them 3-0 with Salah incidentally posting his biggest score in the entire season with 16 points, they will cut through the defence and I can only see Salah going big again.

Justification for differential:

How do Watford keep doing this?! Their unstable management policy of chopping and changing managers all the time somehow equates to them being stable in the Premier League!

Once again we have another relatively unknown manager drafted in from abroad, doing the business.

This, has put the Hornets FPL assets back on the cards of consideration and Gerard Duelofeu in particular, is very high up on my agenda after his extremely impressive full debut against Chelsea, scoring and assisting in a 13 point return.

He obviously possesses huge amounts of talent, he’s been playing with Messi most of the season and you can’t be a bad player to play in any Barca team.

Having got off to a flyer in his full debut, the Spaniard looks as sharp as ever. I’m backing him to grab a goal away to the Evra ageing Hammers back four.

keep-calm-and-thanks-for-reading-7

 

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