FPL Captain Metric: Gameweek 29

We explore the best options for the Fantasy Premier League captain for Gameweek 29 and reveal the results of our captain poll and our new captain metric, who will you choose this gameweek?

BEFORE WE BEGIN: If you haven’t already seen, we released an article earlier introducing the new ‘Captain Metric’, which explains the concept fully and it can be viewed here > ‘The Captain Metric Explained…’

Last week was mainly a straight shot between Liverpool’s high-flying Egyptian and Tottenham’s powerhouse centre forward.

This time, the people were right, with the majority backing Salah, as he went on to score yet another double-figure haul of 10 points with a goal and an assist in a 4-1 Liverpool home win.

Harry Kane probably should have outscored Salah however, with him missing 2 very easy chances and Spurs being denied what looked like a clear penalty, but in the end, he could only manage a 6 point return with him scoring the only goal of his game against Crystal Palace.

So, the metric’s selection of Kane misses out, but given the easy chances Kane missed, the choice was fully justified and rather unlucky it didn’t win out.

Moving onto GW29 and it seems to be a two horse race again – let’s see who wins out.

Results of our poll

Screen Shot 2018-03-01 at 17.21.09

Mohamed Salah – 53% of the votes

Underlying attacking stats over the last 4 gameweeks:

  • 32 penalty area touches
  • 15 total goal attempts.
  • 12 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 7 big chances.
  • 5 goals.
  • 2 assists.

Harry Kane – 42% of the votes 

Underlying attacking stats over the last 4 gameweeks:

  • 24 penalty area touches
  • 23 total goal attempts.
  • 18 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 9 big chances.
  • 3 goals.
  • 0 assists.

Sergio Agüero – 3% of the votes 

Underlying attacking stats over the last 4 gameweeks (excluding Arsenal game due on Thursday):

  • 33 penalty area touches
  • 19 total goal attempts.
  • 17 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 5 big chances.
  • 8 goals.
  • 0 assists.

Differential captain options

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  1. Firmino – Salah has been the player that has taken the headlines, but quietly going about his business, is his strike partner Bobby Firmino. In the last 10 gameweeks, Firmino has scored 8 and provided 4 assists. That’s a whopping 79pts in that time, including 4 double-figure hauls. He’s also managed to outscore Salah on 3 occasions in that same spell, so if you fancy something other than Salah, then Bobby is about as safe as you can go.
  2. Mahrez – I wasn’t entirely convinced by Leicester’s performance against Stoke, but even so, Mahrez was the player with the most touches in that game and had it not been for an exceptional Butland save, he would have been on the scoresheet again. He could also have had an assist if N’didi’s header was an inch inside the post, but unfortunately for Mahrez owners, it came off the post and out. He was the player most likely to make something happen and given Bournemouth’s relatively poor defence (5th most amount conceded and 5th worst for conceding big chances in the league), I think Mahrez owners can expect returns in this one.
  3. Aubameyang – After a great start against Everton with a goal and a decent performance, Aubameyang has had it rough, with his next 2 games coming in the North London Derby and then a cup final against one of the best teams in the world right now, in Man City. So, he’s not had much chance to his express himself fully with both defences limiting any chances for him, but with Brighton next and some lovely fixtures on the horizon, Arsenal should be able to get him the chances to really start turning people’s heads and I think it could be a nice differential captain shout on the Sunday afternoon and a decent longer-term investment.

My view… 

Once again, it’s mainly between Kane and Salah this week for most, and I’m no different.

Embed from Getty Images


I had a gut-feeling about Kane last week with Palace and was rather unfortunate to not be well rewarded, with Kane missing some easy chances, but this week, I think I’ve gotta go with Mo Salah.

Liverpool seem to be tearing everyone apart right now and with their Champions League tie in the bag with their ridiculous 5-0 away win against Porto, they can play with the complete freedom of knowing a place in the quarter final is a mere formality.

Spurs on the other hand, whilst they know they’ve put themselves in a good position, will still need to be 100% focused for their tie, as Juventus will throw everything at them in the second leg and you never know, some of the players might just have one eye on that game.

Embed from Getty Images


In terms of a differential punt, I’d go with Riyad Mahrez.

As was stated earlier, he was very unlucky not to see any returns against Stoke and I really don’t rate Bournemouth’s defence – Leicester and Mahrez, shouldn’t find it too difficult to penetrate it in my opinion.

The Captain Metric says…

Screen Shot 2018-02-27 at 18.17.20

… Mohamed Salah.

Unlike last week, this week we have a clear winner.

Salah wins out this week because his team have the best attacking stats of any team over the last 5 gameweeks, with 21 big chances created in that time and the fact that they have the best fixture on paper in comparison to the others, with Newcastle conceding 12 big chances over that time.

Salah also comfortably beats Kane, who is the other main contender for most this week, in the ‘Player Form’ stat with almost twice as many FPL points as Kane in the last 5 gameweeks and is very close on the ICT index to Kane as well.

The one thing perhaps against Salah, you could argue, is that Newcastle managed a 1-1 draw against them in the reverse fixture in which Salah blanked, whilst Kane netted a brace in a 4-0 Spurs win in their reverse fixture.

On top of that, whilst the total amount of big chances conceded by both teams are similar, with Huddersfield on 58 and Newcastle on 57, Newcastle are much better at not letting them become goals, with the Magpies conceding 38 goals to Huddersfield’s 48.

So, make no mistake, it is a tough one between the two, but the community says Salah and so does the metric!

Stats obtained from fantasyfootballscout.co.uk





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