Our newest contributor, Aditya Iyer, is going to be exploring the world of statistics, ahead of gameweek 32, to bring you the most interesting and relevant stats to help you make more informed decisions with regard to your FPL teams
Leading up to last gameweek, I (Simon) decided that it was time for a change.
‘Connect Picks’, whilst relatively fun for us, I felt, just wasn’t giving you anything you couldn’t get elsewhere.
Differentials and key players are done to death in this saturated market – I wanted to provide you with something more interesting and likely far more useful.
So, I sat down with our new writer Aditya and together, we have come up with something we feel will satisfy those two things.
Now we’re back after the international break and that means stat man Aditya has readied you with plenty of important and interesting stats to consider ahead of gameweek 32 – read on and enjoy this latest feast of FPL data, statistics and insight!
Gameweek 31 Review
To begin with, the so-called blank gameweek 31 exceeded expectations, as most of us crossed the 65+ point mark with relative ease.
The credit to such high scores goes to the Liverpool side, which lived up to and exceeded expectations, scoring 5 and conceding none.
Huddersfield conceded 18 shots against Crystal Palace and lost 15 tackles in the game. The Eagles had a total of 11 shots from inside the box out of which only 5 were on target.
Everton created 14 chances against Stoke City with 50% of chances created from the right flank.
Stoke City’s Jack Butland made the most saves with 6, having a save percentage of 75.
No other defender had more goal attempts than James Tomkins, who had 3 shots from inside the box, one of them of course being a goal.
Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah had 13 touches in the penalty area and scored with every attempt he had amassing an incredible 29 point FPL haul.
Gameweek 32 Preview
Defensive Point of View
Manchester United have kept 10 cleansheets at home this season, the most in the league this campaign, and face Swansea a side who have managed to score only 25 goals, one more than the least scoring side, West Brom.
Whilst Stoke aren’t exactly proficient in front of goal, Arsenal do give the opposition a chance at the Emirates, with 17 goals conceded in their 15 matches at home and an alarming 26 big chances conceded, which is ranked the 6th worst in that category.
Having said that, 7 of their 10 clean sheets this season have come at home.
Over the last 4 gameweeks Stoke City, Swansea City, Crystal Palace, West Brom and Bournemouth have conceded 60+ shots, excluding Swansea, the other 4 teams have conceded 20+ shots on target.
Spurs, Liverpool and Manchester City have conceded the fewest shots in this period (less than 10) and the stats table below mentions their current defensive stats.
Attacking Point of View
Gameweek 32 features the London Derby, so let’s have look at some stats featuring Chelsea, Spurs and the other Premier League Clubs.
Over the last 4 gameweeks, Chelsea have attempted the most shots on goal (64), 2 more than Liverpool, but have only managed to score 6, with a goal conversion percentage of 9.4.
Only Manchester City, Liverpool and Spurs have managed 40+ shots inside the box in the last 4 gameweeks, with all the 3 sides having 20+ shots on target, with a shot accuracy of around 40%.
Arsenal have scored the second most amount of goals at home (39), only City (51) have managed more. They’re also the second best team at home for creating big chances, with 50 created as well as having a minutes per chance ratio of 5.2.
Stoke City have had the least number of goal attempts (30) in the last 4 gameweeks, out of which only 9 were on target.
Must-haves and considerations: GW32
GoalkeeperEmbed from Getty Images
Manchester United have an easier fixture this week and it is impossible to ignore their Spaniard goalkeeper David De Gea, who even managed an assist in Spain’s 6-1 rout of Argentina in their International friendly!
In his last 4 home games, he has managed to keep 2 cleansheets and has conceded just 2 goals. He’s faced a total number of 13 shots on target and has saved 12 of them meaning a save percentage of 92%.
DefenderEmbed from Getty Images
Andrew Robertson is starting to look like a really good FPL asset. Looking at his stats in the last 4 gameweeks: he has had 108 touches in the final 3rd, 9 touches in the penalty area and has created 7 chances for his side.
In that time, he has also provided 2 assists and has kept 2 cleansheets. Though his goal-scoring potential is fairly low, he does get forward extremely well down the left-flank and at a frequent rate, increasing his likelihood for assists.
MidfielderEmbed from Getty Images
It’s getting hard to ignore the most owned player in FPL – Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian Winger has already scored 28 goals this campaign. Now looking at the stats of his last 4 games; He has had 36 touches in the penalty area and has scored 6 goals from 15 attempts coming from inside the box.
He’s not just a goal-scoring machine either, creating 8 chances and providing 2 assists in the process. This week he faces a Crystal Palace side, who in their last 4 home games have conceded 5 goals and have conceded 51 shots on goal. This game could be little tricky, but considering the efficiency of Liverpool’s attack and Salah’s in particular, it’s hard to see past him once again.
Other midfield options that should do well: Son, Willian, Christian Eriksen, Riyad Mahrez and Raheem Sterling.
The main man in this category for this week is Arsenal’s Pierre Emerick Aubameyang. The reason behind him appearing in this article is that in their last 4 home games, Arsenal have scored 12 goals in 52 attempts, the second best in this period by a side at home (one goal less than Liverpool).
The Gabonese international has created 4 chances in his last 4 games and has also registered an assist. He’s had 18 touches in the penalty area, scoring 3 goals out of 8 attempts with a shot accuracy of 63%. This week the Gunners face Stoke City at home, who have conceded 6 goals in their last 4 away trips, conceding 72 shots.
Other Forward options that should do well: Romelu Lukaku, Jamie Vardy, and Roberto Firmino.
Predicting Bandwagons: Under The Radar
1. Florent HadergjonajEmbed from Getty Images
Huddersfield’s Florent Hadergjonaj is the first of my ‘under the radar’ choice. The Swiss right-back is currently owned by only 0.1% of FPL managers. Now let’s have a look at his stats over the last 4 gameweeks.
The defender has had 137 touches in the final 3rd including 3 touches in the penalty area. He has provided 36 crosses, the most by a defender in the last 4 gameweeks and has created 8 chances. He’s also had 2 shots on goal, one of them being on target.
Priced at just £4.5m and considering Huddersfield’s next 4 fixtures (New (A), Bha (A), WAT (H), EVE (H)), he could be a decent differential who could even return well in DGW34 where they played Watford at home.
2. Dwight GayleEmbed from Getty Images
Newcastle’s Dwight Gayle is the second choice and definitely someone who’s been going under the radar.
The Newcastle forward is currently owned by 1.2% FPL managers and has scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in his last 4 gameweeks.
Looking at his stats over that time, Gayle has had 11 touches in the penalty area, 7 attempts on goal, out of which 4 shots were on target, scoring 2. From a creative perspective, he’s created 3 chances and has provided 2 assists.
A couple of concerns do surround this asset however, with Gayle only managing to complete 90 minutes on 7 occasions of the 27 matches he’s featured in this season, 11 of those appearances have come from the bench.
Newcastle also have some tough remaining fixtures, but having said that, they are fighting for Premier League survival and Gayle has started the last 5 games, so if they’re going to survive, they’re going to need Gayle to continue firing and he might just be an interesting option for managers in GW36 where they play WBA at home and will have a double in GW37 with Watford (A) being one of their fixtures.
Stats obtained from fantasyfootballscout.co.uk