Stat Corner: Double Gameweek 34

Our newest contributor, Aditya Iyer, is going to be exploring the world of statistics, ahead of Double Gameweek 34, to bring you the most interesting and relevant stats to help you make more informed decisions with regard to your FPL teams

The first of the two crunch Double Gameweek’s approach and that means stat man Aditya has readied you with plenty of interesting and relevant stats about the Premier League teams and players to consider ahead of it – read on and enjoy this latest feast of FPL data, statistics and insight!

Gameweek 33 Review

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Gameweek 33 was one to forget. The average score was just 32 points and a fair few managers, including myself, couldn’t even manage to surpass the average!

West Ham conceded a total of 23 shots, 15 of them coming from inside the box but the surprising fact, is that their opponents Chelsea, could only put the ball in the back of the net the one time.

Manchester City conceded the fewest shots (5) along with Chelsea and despite the early 2 goal lead and solid defensive stats, somehow ended up losing the game 3-2 to rivals Manchester United on derby day, as Paul Pogba and Alexis Sánchez wreaked havoc in a quite remarkable 2nd half.

Arsenal’s Petr Cech and West Ham’s Joe Hart (yes, Joe Hart!) made the most saves (5) with the latter having a higher save percentage (83%).

Southampton’s Cedric Soares created the most amount of big chances of any defender (2), incidentally both ending in assists. Crystal Palace’s Patrick Van Aanholt attempted the most shots on goal with 3, 2  of which were inside the box.

Bournemouth’s Ryan Fraser created 8 chances for his side and provided an assist as the Cherries came back from a goal down to earn a draw against Palace.

Chelsea’s Willian created 6 chances and attempted 5 shots, but ultimately failed to provide returns for his owners, who should feel encouraged at the numbers ahead of Double Gameweek 34.

Arsenal’s Danny Welbeck had an eventful game for Arsenal, with 4 touches in the penalty area, 4 goal attempts, 1 of which being an open goal from about 3 yards (which he missed for those who didn’t watch it), yet ended up scoring 2 and the eventual winner for the Gunners.

Double Gameweek 34 Preview

Looking ahead

Defensive Point Of View

Manchester United top the billing this week from a defensive point of view, with them playing twice in two favourable fixtures against WBA and Bournemouth, but just exactly how good are the defensive stats?

Well, at home, they are the best defensive side in the league, with only 7 goals conceded in 16 games, including 11 clean sheets and with WBA travelling to Old Trafford, I think it’s fairly safe to expect a clean sheet from United in that one.

Away from home, they’re not so solid, with 18 goals conceded on their travels and 5 clean sheets from their 16 appearances. They’ve also conceded a hefty 72 shots on target, which isn’t far off teams like WBA (75) and Bournemouth (74).

Liverpool are up against Bournemouth at Anfield for their DGW34 fixture and they hold the second best defensive record at home, with 10 goals conceded and 9 clean sheets kept, so if you still have Robertson or Virgil van Dijk, I wouldn’t be taking them out.

Despite not actually being in great form, Chelsea actually hold one of the best defensive records in the league away from home, with only 16 goals conceded from their 15 games, collecting 5 clean sheets in the process (only City and Spurs have more clean sheets on the road).

 

Attacking Point Of View

Spurs and Manchester United top the agenda on the attacking side of things, with both teams in good form from an attacking perspective and favourable fixtures.

Spurs play a vulnerable Manchester City side at Wembley and then travel to Brighton – both games look good for Spurs to get some goals.

City have been brilliant from a defensive point of view this season, especially on the road (11 goals conceded and 9 clean sheets), but after crashing out to Liverpool in the Champions League 5-1 on aggregate and losing to closest rivals Manchester United on their own patch after being 2-0 up, now is the perfect time to be playing them.

Only Liverpool (14) have scored more goals than Spurs (12) over the last 5 gameweeks and no-one has created more big chances (16) than them in that time.

Manchester United have scored 12 goals in their last 5 games, which of course included tough games against Liverpool and Manchester City, but pale in comparison to most teams when it comes to total goal attempts, with just 48 in that time, the 3rd worst in the league in that period.

This means that United are currently maintaining a very high goal conversion rate of 25%, which is the highest over this period and the worry is, that United’s players would need to keep converting the limited amount of chances they’re currently getting in order to sustain their current point scoring, whereas in other teams, the chances are coming more frequently, so the ceiling for these players are higher and the point scoring is perhaps more sustainable.

Liverpool’s game against a defensively poor Bournemouth side has the potential to really hurt those who sold Salah, should he play in that game. Liverpool have scored the most goals (14) and created the most big chances (16) in the last 6 gameweeks and Bournemouth have conceded the most goals (12) and have conceded the second most amount of big chances (16) in that time.

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Must-haves and considerations: DGW34

Goalkeeper

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Manchester United’s David De Gea is my first pick for this double gameweek.

In his last 4 appearances, the Spaniard has faced 14 shots on target, saving 10 of them with 9 coming from inside the box and has kept a cleansheet.

This week he faces two teams: West Brom (H) and BOU (A). The Baggies have scored just 1 from 31 attempts in their last 4 away trips, the third worst in the league. His second opponents (Bournemouth) have scored 7 from a whopping 70 shots, but in terms of creating big chances, the Cherries have created 5, the third worst by a side at home in last 4 games.

Defender

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Liverpool’s Scottish left-back Andrew Robertson is my second pick.

Though he doesn’t have two fixtures, his stats appeal more than any other player in this category. If we take a look at his last 4 games; he’s had 9 touches in the penalty area, created 5 chances and has provided 2 assists.

The added advantage is that the Reds are playing at home this week and have conceded just 3 goals and 5 big chances in this period.

Midfielder

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Mohamed Salah is fit this week and could cause havoc at home against Bournemouth should Klopp play him, but given the doubt and the fact he just has the one game, I’ve gone with Spurs’ Christian Eriksen, who’s in scintillating form.

The Danish midfielder has surged up in form over the last 4 matches displaying excellent matchwinning performances for his side. He has created 8 chances (2 of those being big chances), assisted a goal, has had 8 touches in the penalty area, 14 attempts on goal with 8 shots on target, scoring 3 of them.

He faces Manchester City at home, who are looking shaky at the moment with 3 consecutive defeats, conceding 8 in that time.

Other midfield options that should do well: Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mané, Willian, Dele Alli and Riyad Mahrez.

Forward

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The main man in this category is the Belgian forward Romelu Lukaku.

After a dip in form following a terrific start, Lukaku has really stepped up his performances of late and in his last 4 appearances, he’s had 17 touches in the penalty area, 5 attempts on goal out of which 4 were on target, scored 2 goals, created 5 chances including 2 big chances and has provided an assist.

With Alexis Sánchez, Jesse Lingard and Paul Pogba all regaining their form, Lukaku could be set to benefit from the creative talent at United’s disposal.

Other Forward options that should do well: Harry Kane, Jamie VardyRoberto Firmino and Pierre Emerick Aubameyang.

Predicting Bandwagons: Under The Radar

1. Alexis Sánchez

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Despite having a slow start after arriving from Arsenal, Alexis Sánchez has stepped up his performances, the most notable one coming last week in the Manchester derby where he provided 2 excellent assists.

Over the last 4 matches, the Chilean has:

  • had 10 touches in the penalty area
  • had 4 goal attempts (3 inside the box)
  • created 8 chances, including 3 big chances
  • made 14 crosses
  • scored 1 goal
  • provided 3 assists

With favourable fixtures in the upcoming double gameweek and him being owned by just 3.5% of managers at the time of writing, Alexis Sánchez could not only be a great differential option, but a fantastic captain choice for those looking to climb the rankings.

2. Marko Arnautović

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West Ham’s Marko Arnatuvoic is my second pick in the under the radar choices. The Austrian international is in good form, demonstrated by his stats over the last 4 gameweeks;

  • 23 touches in the penalty area
  • 13 goal attempts (9 inside the box)
  • Minutes per attempt ratio of 27
  • Created 1 chance
  • Scored 2 goals
  • Notched an assist

Despite not having double fixtures this week, he’s one of the players I’d back to do well against his old club Stoke City and be one to potentially compete with the double-gameweek midfielders, as all their attacks go through this man.

West Ham are currently 6 points clear off the drop zone, so Moyes will want his team to take advantage of this week’s game against Stoke, as their fixtures beyond that are very tricky.

Stats obtained from fantasyfootballscout.co.uk

One last word before you go! 

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