FPL Captain Metric: Gameweek 36

We explore the best options for the Fantasy Premier League captain for Gameweek 36 and reveal the results of our captain poll and our new captain metric – who will you choose this Gameweek?

BEFORE WE BEGIN: If you haven’t already seen, we released an article earlier introducing the new ‘Captain Metric’, which explains the concept fully and it can be viewed here > ‘The Captain Metric Explained…’

Last gameweek highlighted just how important the Free Hit chip is, and indeed how effective it can be if employed correctly, with Free hitters enjoying scores in the mid 60’s to the 80’s in a gameweek where the overall average was only 30.

With a fair percentage of managers on their Free Hit last week, players like Lacazette and Gabriel Jesus came into the thinking for captaincy, with both players providing returns.

My differential captain choice of Jesus was unfortunate not to hit a 13 pointer, as he saw his penalty tipped onto the post by Fabianksi, which resulted in an assist in the end for Bernado Silva, before going on to grab himself a goal, ending on a 7 point return.

It was managers that captained Sterling and Lacazette however that eventually won the day, with an 11 point return and 13 point return respectively, with Salah only managing to net the solitary goal against WBA.

Wenger’s press conference let on that Aubameyang might not start and of course he didn’t, but still managed an assist off the bench to keep his form ticking over nicely, but a little painful for those who had the armband on him.

With Kane at home to a Watford side playing for nothing, Salah at home to a struggling Stoke side and Man City playing West Ham off the back of a 5-0 rout, this week’s captaincy decision looks to be an extremely tough one – lets see if we can help provide some clarity.

The results of our poll

Screen Shot 2018-04-25 at 09.36.12

Mohamed Salah – 39% of the votes 

Underlying attacking stats over the last 4 gameweeks where he’s been involved:

  • 42 penalty area touches
  • 18 total goal attempts.
  • 12 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 6 big chances.
  • 7 goals.
  • 1 assist.

Harry Kane – 47% of the votes 

Underlying attacking stats over the last 4 gameweeks (excluding GW30+GW32 for injury and injury comeback):

  • 22 penalty area touches
  • 13 total goal attempts.
  • 10 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 2 big chances.
  • 2 goals.
  • 1 assist.

Gabriel Jesus – 11% of the votes 

Underlying attacking stats over the last 4 gameweeks where he’s been involved:

  • 16 penalty area touches
  • 10 total goal attempts.
  • 8 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 6 big chances.
  • 3 goals.
  • 2 assists.

Differential captain options:

 

  1. Raheem Sterling – I know what you’re thinking, ‘Why is Sterling in the differential captain options section and Jesus in the main captain options section?’, well that’s because I believe Jesus is more ‘nailed on to start’ than Sterling, with Agüero out injured. Of course, this is Pep, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Yaya Toure play as a false 9 or something daft like that, but logically speaking, Jesus is the only recognised central striker now and having seen that Sané was dropped last week, it could easily mean Sterling starts from the bench this time around. So I think that makes him a risky pick and thus, I doubt a large percentage of managers will choose him as their captain, but there’s no doubt, if Sterling plays, he’s always worthy of consideration for the captains armband because of the sheer number of chances he gets and if you have the balls to play Pep’s roulette, then it could pay off big… it could also bite hard though!
  2. Christian Eriksen – A safer differential captain option this week. The Great Dane has been in imperious form recently, with 4 goals and 33pts in his last 4 games. Only Bournemouth (14) have conceded more goals than Watford (13) in the last 6 gameweeks and away from home, Watford’s defensive record doesn’t read too great either, with them conceding nearly 2 goals a game on average. With the Hornets having nothing much to play for now and Spurs needing to bounce back after their semi-final defeat to Manchester United, Eriksen shouldn’t have a problem extending this purple patch against fairly inferior opposition.

My view… 

This week really is difficult to make a clear choice.

Fortunately for us, Anfield Express has been helping us significantly, leaking the Liverpool team news nice and early so we can make more informed decisions.

Whilst I don’t expect this will last much longer, if we have the information available again, and it states that Salah starts against Stoke, then it’s hard to look past the newly crowned PFA player of the year.

Having said that, their minds aren’t going to be 100% focused on Stoke, following how they capitulated in the last 10 minutes against Roma last night – just enough to put some doubt in their mind, seeing as Roma needed to win 3-0 against Barcelona to go through in the previous round and managed to pull it off.

In comparison, Kane/Spurs and Man City/Jesus/Sterling have nothing else to focus on but their upcoming Premier League matches.

This does push me slightly more toward Kane, as he’s hellbent on scoring goals in an attempt to catch Salah up for the golden boot as we know and Watford at home is a very nice fixture to bounce back on and we know he’s nailed for all 90 mins, whereas Salah’s minutes will surely be managed in some fashion.

The problem is, Kane’s looked a little sluggish recently on the eye and his underlying stats aren’t at their mouthwatering best and Salah just continues to score goals and be so consistently good.

Embed from Getty Images

 

Kane’s also, this season, been incredibly inconsistent, so it’s been much harder to trust him to do the business, so based on that, providing we find out from Anfield Express that Salah starts, then Mohamed Salah would be my choice, but if he doesn’t start, then Kane will get it for me.

I don’t think this is the week for a differential captain personally, given the strength of the key captain candidates, but if people really want to go different, then I fancy Christian Eriksen against Watford.

The Captain Metric says… 

Screen Shot 2018-04-24 at 15.50.16

… Mohamed Salah.

A clear and resounding winner this week, the Egyptian wonder-boy Salah takes top spot on yet another one of our captain metrics, mainly down to superior performance and form to the other two candidates.

On paper, Salah has the easiest fixture of the week, with Stoke having conceded the most goals of any team this year. Away from home, they’ve conceded the second most amount of goals (37) to West Ham (42) and have conceded the most amount of big chances (42) of any team.

The bookies also heavily favour Salah to score at anytime, but interestingly, the bookies fancy Harry Kane to score against Watford more than Salah against Stoke.

City are the best attacking team in the league by far and post some incredible attacking stats away from home, with 40 goals scored in their 17 games, with a minutes per chance ratio of 5.7, the best of any team in the league and have scored 15 in their last 5 games, with 20 big chances created, meaning Jesus has every chance of posting a good score against West Ham.

All 3 are undoubtedly excellent candidates this week, but myself and the metric say Magic Mo Salah once again, whilst the community fancy Harry Kane to get back to form against the Hornets at Wembley.

Stats obtained from fantasyfootballscout.co.uk 

keep-calm-and-thanks-for-reading-7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Blog at WordPress.com.

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: