Stat Corner: Double Gameweek 37

Our newest contributor, Aditya Iyer, is going to be exploring the world of statistics, ahead of Double Gameweek 37, to bring you the most interesting and relevant stats to help you make more informed decisions with regard to your FPL teams

The pivotal Double Gameweek 37 is right on our doorsteps and that means stat man Aditya has readied you with plenty of interesting and relevant stats about the Premier League teams and players to consider ahead of it – read on and enjoy this latest feast of FPL data, statistics and insight!

Gameweek 36 Review

Screen Shot 2018-03-15 at 20.30.09

Gameweek 36 saw the average points tallying 44, but the story of the week was that Mohamed Salah somehow managed to blank as Liverpool failed to score against Stoke City.

Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah had 11 touches in the penalty area, had 7 attempts on goal, the most this week, but inexplicably failed to return any points for owners.

Despite conceding 20 shots and a one on one chance to Salah, the Potters somehow came through with a clean sheet. Nine teams also managed to hold onto cleansheets this week.

Leicester City conceded the most big chances (6) this week, which was evident from their 5-0 hammering versus Crystal Palace.

Newcastle United created a total of 14 chances, the second most this week and yet they failed to penetrate the West Brom defence.

In terms of chance creation, Southampton’s Dusan Tadic (5), Manchester City’s Raheem Sterling (4) and Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha (4) were the most creative that week.

Against West Ham, Manchester City created a chance every 4.9 minutes, the best ratio of any team that week along with Liverpool and other than Crystal Palace, who we know scored 5 and created 6 big chances, Southampton impressed, improving their attacking numbers with 4 big chances created and 14 goal attempts.

Double Gameweek 37 Preview

Looking ahead

Defensive Point of View

Fixtures wise, Manchester City have the perfect two fixtures for this Gameweek against Huddersfield and Brighton at home. They have conceded the least amount of goals (26) and have kept the second most amount of clean sheets (16). Despite only keeping 1 clean sheet in their last 5 games, you’d expect them to keep clean sheets in both these games, depending on how much the team is rotated of course.

Of course we can’t go too far without mentioning Manchester United when it comes to the defence. They have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games and have conceded only 4 goals. They face Brighton and then West Ham away for the double and it’s quite likely they get at least 1 clean sheet, likely in the Brighton game, but whilst the game at the London Stadium will be tough, it wouldn’t be unexpected to see them come out of that one with a clean sheet too.

Elsewhere, Chelsea are another team that should see a clean sheet this week, with them playing Huddersfield at home in their second game of their double. Huddersfield have only scored 2 goals in their last 5 games and Chelsea have conceded the least amount of big chances (4) in their last 5 games.

Spurs should be good for clean sheet chances this week, but after their performance against Watford last night, where Spurs conceded 13 shots, 5 of them being on target and 10 of the shots coming inside the box, a lot of us were left unconvinced, especially when you factor in that WBA have scored in each of their last 5 games.

The second fixture at Newcastle is perhaps the one where you’d bank on them having a clean sheet, with Newcastle having failed to score in their last two games and generally looking like some of their players are on the beach. Spurs also boast the third best home defensive record, with only 12 goals conceded at home and 9 clean sheets kept.

Attacking Point of View

Like they were on the defensive side, Manchester City also dominate the attacking side with their fixtures and attacking prowess. In the last 5 gameweeks, City have scored 17 goals and created 19 big chances and boast the best minutes per chance ratio (5.1) of any team over that time.

Another team that have thoroughly impressed in that time from an attacking sense, is Crystal Palace, who have scored 11 goals and have created 14 big chances. Granted a large portion of those stats came from the Leicester 5-0 thrashing, but if you’ve seen them play in recent games, they’ve played some really good stuff and if you have Zaha, I’m not sure I’d be benching him and certainly wouldn’t be looking to take him out.

Spurs have two great fixtures on paper and we should see some decent attacking returns from their assets, with them facing relegation doomed WBA and then Newcastle at home.

WBA have been resurgent however under Moore, with them only conceding 5 goals in their last 5 games, so I wouldn’t be expecting big things from that game. Newcastle have also only conceded 4 goals in their last 5 games, so that could be tougher than people are anticipating too, but with Spurs’ quality, you’d have to expect them to get the better of the two sets of defences.

Swansea desperately need points and have two good fixtures against Bournemouth and Southampton in the double, two defences that look like they can be got at, but Swansea have been really struggling of late from an attacking perspective, with only 2 goals scored and 2 big chances created in their last 5 games – those looking at Jordan Ayew might want to think twice before bringing him in.

Must-haves and considerations: DGW37

Goalkeeper

 

My first pick for this gameweek is Manchester City’s Ederson Moraes.

In his last 4 appearances, he’s faced 9 shots on target, saved 4 of them with 1 coming from inside the box, 3 from outside the box and has a save percentage of 44%. The Brazilian has kept a cleansheet, but has conceded 5 goals.

Though his stats are not that good for a goalkeeper, Manchester City have two easy fixtures this double gameweek and will be able to dominate the ball for the majority of the game, thus limiting the chances Huddersfield and Brighton will get, which they do better than anyone in the league.

Defender

Embed from Getty Images

 

Tottenham’s Jan Vertonghen is my second pick for this Gameweek.

Not normally known for his attacking potential and in general, he doesn’t pose too much of a threat from an attacking perspective, but as was evident in last night’s match against Watford, he showed us that he can pose a threat at times, with his header from a free kick coming back off the post and him also appearing high up the pitch to get on the end of a pass, then slotting in Harry Kane who finished the chance, only for the liner to flag for offside.

In their last 4 home games, the Baggies have scored 5 from 42 attempts and are slowly improving under Darren Moore, so a clean sheet could be difficult to come by in this one, but their second game is against Newcastle at home where the chances are much better with the Magpies looking like they could be on the beach early, having not scored in their previous 2 games and generally not looking too lively from an attacking sense.

Midfielder

Embed from Getty Images

 

The midfield pick for this week is Chelsea’s Eden Hazard.

The main reason for this pick over other obvious choices, is the recent change in Conte’s system where Hazard is now up front in a 352 system with 1 of Giroud or Morata, with heavier emphasis on scoring.

The Belgian midfielder had a dip in form but has been displaying decent performances of late. Over his last 4 appearances, he’s had 27 touches in the penalty area, 12 goal attempts with 8 coming from inside the box, created 9 chances including an assist and has scored 1.

Chelsea play their first game at home against Liverpool. The Reds in their last 4 away trips have let in 5 goals and have conceded 30 shots including 8 big chances.

The Blues then face Huddersfield in their second game at home. As stated before, Huddersfield have struggled to find the net recently and generally speaking over the course of the season, where they have the 3rd worst attacking away record, with only 11 goals scored and a pretty poor 14 big chances created, the second worst for that stat only to Swansea (13).

Other Midfield options: Mohamed Salah, Dele AlliChristian Eriksen, Raheem Sterling and Leroy Sané.

Forward

 

Undoubtedly the star man for this week is Harry Kane.

In his last 4 starts, the English forward has had 19 touches in the penalty area, 11 goal attempts with 7 inside the box, created 5 chances and has scored 3 goals. With Mohamed Salah failing to score last game, Kane needs just 4 goals to surpass him and of course has 1 extra game to Salah, so you’d think he’ll want to take full advantage of that.

Whilst WBA have seen some undeniable improvement under Moore, in their last 4 home matches, they have conceded 9 goals from 41 shots – joint worst with Bournemouth for goals conceded over that time.

In their last 4 away visits, Kane’s second opponents in the double, Newcastle, have conceded 6 goals and 8 big chances and with the last few pretty poor attacking performances, there’s every chance Kane gets amongst the goals in this one.

Other Forward options: Gabriel Jesus, Pierre- Emerick Aubameyang, Marcus Rashford and Jamie Vardy.

Under The Radar

1. Paul Pogba

Embed from Getty Images

 

My first under the radar pick is Manchester United’s Paul Pogba. He is currently owned by 13.7% (live ownership 8.0%) of FPL managers.

Over the last 5 matches, the French midfielder has:

  • had 10 touches in the penalty area
  • had 13 goal attempts (5 inside the box)
  • received 3 big chances
  • created 6 chances (3 big chances)
  • provided an assist
  • scored 3 goals

With Ander Herrera now a part of this 433 set up, it’s provided the extra defensive cover needed in order for Jose Mourinho to give Pogba the licence to roam free and get forward at every chance, which has been apparent in his goalscoring, with the 3 he’s got in the last 4 gameweeks.

At £7.9m, he could be a good differential replacement for the likes of Mahrez and Willian who are out of form.

2. Bernardo Silva

Embed from Getty Images

 

My second under the radar pick is Manchester City’s Bernardo Silva. He is currently owned by just 1.4% of FPL managers.

Over his last 6 matches, the Portuguese midfielder has:

  • had 24 touches in the penalty area
  • had 6 goal attempts (6 inside the box)
  • created 6 chances,
  • scored 2 goals
  • points per 90 minutes ratio of 6.7

Though Bernardo Silva has started only 13 games, he has scored 5 and provided 5 assists this season. When he does start, he almost always returns, the question of course is how many minutes is he going to see over the last 3 gameweeks.

When Sané or Sterling are rested, Bernado tends to come in, and with Sané receiving his rest the week before and Sterling having started the last 6, he could be the one to see a rest and that would likely mean Silva comes in for him. I would anticipate that Bernado Silva sees at least 1 start out of the two fixtures in DGW37.

3. Henrikh Mkhitaryan

 

My third and last under the radar pick for this week is Arsenal’s Henrikh Mkhitaryan. He is currently owned by 7.2% of FPL managers.

Over his last 6 matches, the Armenian midfielder has:

  • had 19 touches in the penalty area
  • had 10 goal attempts (5 inside the box)
  • created 8 chances
  • provided an assist
  • scored 2 goals

Since joining Arsenal, Mkhi has played 6 games (526 mins played), provided 4 assists and has scored 2 goals. His injury sustained in the Europa League game hampered his selection by Wenger, as he missed 3 gameweeks.

His performance against his old club Manchester United displayed how good he can be when he’s on form. Arsenal’s remaining 3 fixtures do look decent on paper and if Arsene starts him along with a couple from Lacazette, Aubameyang and Özil, then their attack should do well. The only problem is of course, the rotation likely to occur after their Europa League semi-final clash with Atletico-Madrid.

I personally think Wenger will want a decent result in his last ever home game, so I can’t see the rotation being too significant. It’s a gamble of course, but if he starts both, or even gets a cameo in one and a start in the other, he could easily return well for those willing to take a punt.

Food_for_thought_visual_identity-800x400

 

 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Blog at WordPress.com.

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: