Player Value Series – Summary

In case you missed it – we have a player value series, where we analyse past performances and the future potential of key assets, and make a judgement call as to whether we think they will be value for money in the forth-coming fixtures.

In this article, we have ranked the players relative to their position (as per the judgement of @fantfoottipster) – expect the rankings to move as we post more articles – and we have summarised our conclusions.

And we will keep this up to date throughout the season, as we re-asses players or introduce new – so bookmark this page to stay in touch.

Recent Changes: Martial, Sanchez & Mata (all MUN) added to watch list; added van Aanholt (CRY) to number 1 defender slot (demoting Coleman (EVE) to number 2); Wood (BUR) added to watch list.

Just click on the player name to go to his article:

DEFENDERS

1st van Aanholt (CRY) – The case for owning PVA looks very strong indeed. At £5.5M you’d be delighted with him as a midfielder never mind as a defender, so you should be ecstatic that he is a defender with the potential of clean sheet points as well. The watch-out is that he scored all of his goals and got his assist in the last ten games, but this could be more to do with Palace’s improvement in Hodgson, as opposed to van Aanholt being patchy.

2nd Coleman (EVE) – Coleman is touch-and-go value for money at worst, with the potential to return well if either, EVE start as good in defence as our algorithms are forecasting, or he converts even just one of his big chances, which we know historically, when fit, he’s well capable of doing.

MIDFIELDERS

1st Salah (LIV) – get him into your team. Our stats suggest he’ll still be good value for money. Additionally, his ownership is likely to be over 50% by the time the game begins – it’s already at 47.2% currently. This also means he’s likely to be a very popular captain choice, so if you own and captain him and he fails, then you won’t fall too much, but if you don’t have him and your captain fails, whilst he hauls big in the beginning, you’re going to fall very far behind – not a risk worth taking.

2nd Walcott (EVE) – there is a simple way to look at this decision – if EVE continue to play the same as the Allardyce era, Walcott could return an average of 1.8pts per game (goals, assists and bonus points), bag some single clean-sheet points and see you hit value for money – its that simple however, IF EVE thrive (even a little bit) under Marco Silva, Theo could convert a few of those big chances (or his team-mates could convert his assists), and smash all value-for-money barriers.

FORWARDS

1st Zaha (CRY) – we need to be confident he will continue to play in this forward position, else he might be rendered an undesirable FPL asset due to playing out-of-position (which basically means he is playing a deeper role with less goals potential, but only scoring FPL points relative to a forward). That said, his value for money target his so low versus his potential, this might not matter.

2nd Tosun (EVE) – feels like a player who needs to do a little bit more to prove himself. However, at £7M, a few goals in his opening fixtures and an Everton attack clicking will see him rocket from a, ‘Hmmm’ to a, ‘Yes please!’. So, as a gamble, he is low risk (relative to his value) but potentially high reward (value for money).

WATCH LIST

  • Midfielder … Martial (MUN) – There are glimmers of hope hidden deep within Martials stats, but this assumes he is able to find form, sustain it and be regularly selected – and at £7.5M it feels like £1-1.5M too high to take a gamble.
  • Midfielder … Sanchez (MUN) – There are signs that Sanchez might come good (relative to his value because he will score points over the opening weeks) – but the Jose promise of game-time is a red-herring (he was always going to get this regardless). What you need to consider is that he costs £10.5M – over one-tenth of your budget from which we need to buy fifteen players. So “might come good” is not good enough right now.
  • Midfielder … Mata (MUN) – Mata is a fantastic player no doubt, but seems to severely lack in the goal-involvement portion of his game in this Mourinho side, which is of course what we, as FPL managers, are mainly interested in.

 

  • Forward … Wood (BUR) – the fact of the matter is, that his price-tag of £6.5M, for a player who has proven he can exceed our value for money target (even with limited game-time), is appealing. We won’t be recommending him generally, but would advise that some squads might need him to facilitate big signings – if this is the case be mindful that he is probably one for the long-term, because he (and Burnley) are capable of a number of blanks over a five game period, but should serve you well over ten to fifteen games.

PPP

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