FPL Captain Metric: Gameweek 2

We explore the best options for the Fantasy Premier League captain for Gameweek 2 and reveal the results of our captain poll – who will you choose this Gameweek?

BEFORE WE BEGIN: If you haven’t already seen, we released an article last year introducing the new ‘FPL Captain Metric’, which explains the concept fully and it can be viewed here >> https://fplconnect.blog/2018/08/07/the-captain-metric-explained-2/

IMPORTANT NOTE: Because it’s the start of the season and the metric is based purely on 5 previous GWs worth of relevant data, the metric is not yet included in this article as we want to make use of this season’s relevant data.

Our data analyst is working hard on enhancing the metric for the new season, so keep an eye out for an announcement about that!

Results of our poll

The following underlying statistics are taken from FantasyFootballScout.co.uk. If you want to gain access to these stats yourself, register to become a member here >> https://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/

IMPORTANT NOTE: All underlying stats are taken from the last GW1 aside from Man United attackers (as they blanked in GW1 – their stats taken from previous 5 GWs post-lockdown).

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – 63.6% of the votes

  • 4 penalty area touches.
  • 3 total goal attempts.
  • 3 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 1 chances created (0 big chances)
  • 0 big chances.
  • 1 goal.
  • 0 assists.

Tony Martial – 15.3% of the votes

  • 41 penalty area touches.
  • 11 total goal attempts.
  • 8 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 8 chances created (2 big chances)
  • 2 big chances.
  • 2 goals.
  • 3 assists.

Bruno Fernandes – 14.9% of the votes

  • 17 penalty area touches.
  • 11 total goal attempts.
  • 6 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 10 chances created (0 big chances)
  • 5 big chances.
  • 2 goals.
  • 2 assists.

Mo Salah

  • 21 penalty area touches
  • 9 total goal attempts.
  • 8 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 4 chances created (0 big chances)
  • 2 big chances.
  • 3 goals.
  • 0 assists.

DCL

  • 2 penalty area touches
  • 2 total goal attempts.
  • 2 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 1 chances created (0 big chances)
  • 0 big chances.
  • 1 goal.
  • 0 assists.

Richarlison

  • 9 penalty area touches
  • 7 total goal attempts.
  • 5 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 1 chances created (0 big chances)
  • 2 big chances.
  • 0 goals.
  • 0 assists.

Willian

  • 3 penalty area touches
  • 2 total goal attempts.
  • 1 goal attempts inside the box.
  • 3 chances created (1 big chances)
  • 1 big chances.
  • 0 goals.
  • 3 assists.

Analysing the Candidates 

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – WHU (H)

Arteta and Arsenal posted a solid start with a 3-0 away win to Fulham. Lacazette, Gabriel and Aubameyang got the goals and they looked organised at the back and dangerous going forward although, the opposition didn’t put up too much of a fight.

Aubameyang was always looking dangerous and although he didn’t get too many opportunities, he did what he does best, expertly dispatching a curling right footed effort into the top corner from ~18 yards out on the angle, cutting in from the left.

He also had a very good chance to score again, rounding the keeper effortlessly but as a result of this, the angle was increasingly against him and it allowed the defenders to get back onto the line and block his effort from a tight angle.

They face West Ham next, who looked pretty poor in their 2-0 home defeat to Newcastle. Only Leeds (22) conceded more shots in GW1 than West Ham (15), with an xGC of 1.57, which is ranked 4th highest of all teams for the last GW.

With an impressive first performance from Arsenal and Aubameyang combined with a poor looking West Ham up next at The Emirates, he looks to be a standout choice for GW2.

Tony Martial + Bruno Fernandes – Palace (H)

Man United are back this gameweek and with that, they come back to a good fixture, Crystal Palace at Old Trafford.

Palace under Hodgson can be difficult, and I doubt any of us were expecting them, with their defensive difficulties currently, to beat Southampton to nil, but they did, with an xGC of 0.90 (only Liverpool, Leicester and Arsenal had a better xGC), so United will have to be on it to break them down.

United do have stronger and more creative players all over the pitch though than Southampton, as we saw when United beat Palace 2-0 post-lockdown, with Bruno Fernandes, Rashford and Martial all key parts to their win.

It was Bruno who played the defence splitting pass for Rashford for the first goal, and it was Bruno’s cutting inside pass to Rashford, who then touched it inside to Martial to finish for the second.

It’s this kind of creativity that’s needed to break these lower block defences down and United have that in abundance. So we should expect United to create a lot more chances than Southampton did and with that, there’s good potential for United’s assets to start off strong.

Mohamed Salah – Chelsea (A)

I think we can all agree that Salah was mightily impressive. If you didn’t get to watch him then the above stats from GW1 display how dominant he was against Leeds and even though 2 penalties made up his hat-trick, he was good value for it.

He had 12 more penalty area touches and 3 more shots inside the box than any other player in GW1 resulting in an xG of 1.94, though his non penalty xG was only 0.38.

This game has the potential to be quite open, with this fixture producing 13 goals in the 3 times they’ve faced off in all competitions since Frank took the helm at Chelsea.

The other thing to note, is that Chelsea conceded 13 shots, 2 big chances and 1 goal against Brighton in their first fixture and post-lockdown last season, they conceded 15 goals in their 9 games and 17 big chances, so they’re far from a defensive wall themselves.

The signing of Thiago Silva should help with that but it’s not clear yet when he will be ready to go, having only started training with the Blues this weekend.

Others to consider

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (DCL) and Richarlison – WBA (H)

Everton looked impressive versus Spurs. They were well organised, had more energy and drive, and generally looked more dangerous than Spurs.

The new-look midfield started well, providing more creativity (James Rodriguez), energy and defensive stability (Doucoure and Allan) than previous Everton teams.

With the Colombian maestro James Rodriguez supplying them, who created 5 chances (the joint most of all players for GW1) versus Spurs, DCL and Richarlison look like they could benefit and become stronger assets this season.

With WBA at home for them next, who conceded more big chances (4) than any other side in GW1, both of these players have good potential in GW2 and represent decent alternative captain options.

Conclusion/my personal take

I think this is one of those weeks where you hear the phrase, “don’t overthink it”.

Whilst I do think the Liverpool and Chelsea game could be open, that’s just my assessment of how I see the game turning out and isn’t an objective view.

The facts are, that Salah only scored 4 of his 19 Premier League goals away from home last season and these big games can, get tactical.

It’s also factual that Aubameyang was a flat-track bully last season, scoring 15 of his 22 goals against sides in the bottom half of the table.

If you have Aubameyang, then captain him. If you don’t then I would be looking to give it to maybe one of the United players in Martial or Fernandes.

This isn’t the week for a differential captain in my opinion, as I suspect Aubameyang to be heavily backed. There will be better GWs for a differential captain.

4 thoughts on “FPL Captain Metric: Gameweek 2

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