Predicting the Dream Team – Foomni Vs. Texan (Gameweek 27)

Hello, and welcome to the fourth edition of Predicting the Dream Team brought to you by me, FPL Texan. In this article, we preview FPL Gameweek 27.

In this series, I go head-to-head each week with Foomni Analytics to see who can select the best team of the week, their algorithm or myself. It is a classic battle of man vs. machine!

So first off, let’s take a look at who won the third battle in GW26, myself or Foomni.

Gameweek 26 Review

ManagerGameweek 26 ScoreH2H ScoreTotal Points (since GW24)
FPL Texan962258
Foomni Algo921255

As you can see, I have retaken the lead in another close battle!

One of my best selections was Kevin De Bruyne, who collected 10 points in Gameweek 26. If you would like to see the teams we selected for GW26, you can find the article here.

Moving onto GW27, let’s take a look at Foomni Analytics’ team and a brief explanation of their algorithm.

Foomni’s Predicted Team of the Week (Gameweek 27)

Algo is a predictive algorithm developed by Foomni Analytics, with the goal of projecting FPL player points as correctly as possible. This is Algo’s second full season, and every week it makes new projections for all players and uses them to pick that week’s Dream Team, and provide general FPL advice.

Algo’s brain is a complex system that uses the data from several previous seasons to calculate a player’s form, and then determines what factors affect a player’s form, and applies appropriate modifiers to reflect them.

If you are interested to know more about Algo’s inner workings, this is a good place to start.

It is important to note that there may be a few final changes to Algo’s team following the press conferences.

Next, we will look at my predicted team of the week and my reasoning behind each decision.

Texan’s Predicted Team of the Week (Gameweek 27)

Important note before we begin – this is not my actual team for Gameweek 26, but instead my predicted team of the week (almost as though I had a free hit to choose as I wish).

EMILIANO MARTINEZ

  • Price = £5.3m
  • Ownership = 39.2%
  • Projected points = 5.57 points

Martinez again makes my team of the week this week, with a home match-up against Wolves. Martinez is coming off another strong showing last week, in which he got 12 points. Since February 1st, Wolves have ranked 6th worst in the league for xG, so another clean sheet for Villa could be on the cards.

Martinez is averaging 3.86 per game, which equates to one save point per game.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • Price = £5.2m
  • Ownership = 4.3%
  • Projected points = 4.15 points

Tierney faces Burnley at home this week, who are middle of the road for xG over the last month ranking 10th in the league. Tierney has been in good form as of late, leading Arsenal in xA over his last 5 games at 1.52. Since GW15, only John Stones has more FPL points per start than Tierney.

Burnley have the 7th highest xGA since February 1st, so the opportunity is there for Tierney to get a return.

RUBEN DIAS

  • Price = £6.1m
  • Ownership = 23.3%
  • Projected points = 7.51 points
    • Vs. Man United = 3.52 points
    • Vs. Southampton = 3.99 points

Another mainstay of my team of the weeks, Dias makes the team with a double gameweek of Man United and Southampton. Last gameweek, Dias recorded 12 points. Unfortunately no clean sheets, but he did manage a goal. Dias is the most nailed option at the moment in the City defence, which is keeping numerous clean sheets this season with a league high 15.

SERGIO REGUILON

  • Price = £5.5m
  • Ownership = 3.1%
  • Projected points = 3.45 points

Spurs have a great matchup this week, facing Palace at home. Since February 1st, Palace are last in the league for xG at 2.84 so a clean sheet is on the cards for the spurs defence. Reguilon is also very involved in the attacking, in GW26 he scored 10 points, including an assist. Reguilon was rested in the second matchup this week, so should be fresh for this week.

I think Reguilon has a chance at a clean sheet, plus a return against a Palace team in poor form.

ILKAY GUNDOGAN

  • Price = £6.2m
  • Ownership = 37.5%
  • Projected points = 9.35 points
    • Vs. Man United = 4.33 points
    • Vs. Southampton = 5.02 points

Gundogan makes the team of the week, with City being on another double gameweek this week. Last gameweek, Gundogan was a bit disappointing scoring only 6 points. Good news for owners is, he only played 8 minutes in the second match so he should be fresh and ready to go this week.

Gundogan is still in fantastic form, with the second highest xG in the league over the last 5 games at 3.62. The main matchup for City attackers is Southampton, who are first for xGA in the league over the last month. This bodes well for City attackers as a whole for returns in that game.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE (C)

  • Price = £11.8m
  • Ownership = 13.6%
  • Projected points = 12.17 points
    • Vs. Man United = 4.34 points
    • Vs. Southampton = 7.83 points

De Bruyne is the third City player I have selected this week, and is also my captaincy choice . This isn’t a surprise considering they have a double gameweek and are in great form. Since returning from injury, De Bruyne has averaged 3 shots per game and 2.33 key passes per game in his last three starts.

As mentioned in the Gundogan section, City should have a big game against Southampton so multiple City attackers make my team of the week.

HEUNG-MIN SON

  • Price = £9.5m
  • Ownership = 52.8%
  • Projected points = 8.14 points

Son is coming off a great double gameweek, in which he scored 14 points. This week Spurs have another great matchup, with Palace at home. Palace rank third in xGA since February 1st, so a Spurs team that is back to their early season form should be in for another good game.

Over the last five games, Son is third for xG (0.96) and first for xA (2.79) at Tottenham. This shows that when Spurs score, he’s usually involved in some way. I expect him to be involved in the scoring again this week against a poor defensive Palace team.

RAPHINHA

  • Price = £5.4m
  • Ownership = 9.9%
  • Projected points = 6.56 points

Raphinha and Leeds face West Ham away this week. West Ham have managed just 2 clean sheets in their last 8 matches. Raphinha has been in phenomenal form as of late, leading the league in xA over the last 5 matches at 3.30

In a game which I think both teams will score, I think Raphinha has a good chance of a return.

MASON MOUNT

  • Price = £6.8m
  • Ownership = 7.6%
  • Projected points = 4.68 points

Mount is coming off an impressive gameweek 26, in which he scored 14 points. This week Chelsea face Everton at home. Everton’s defense has been quite poor since February 1st, with the 6th highest xGA. Mount is heavily involved in what Chelsea do offensively, ranked third in both xG and xA over the last 5 games for the team.

Mount is also on most set-pieces for Chelsea, making him an even more exciting pick.

HARRY KANE

  • Price = £6.8m
  • Ownership = 33.1%
  • Projected points = 5.47 points

Kane and Spurs go up against Palace at home. Palace’s defensive woes have been well documented throughout the article, so it makes sense that I have also selected the main goal threat against them this week. Kane is coming off a solid gameweek in which he scored 8 points. Over the last 5 games, Kane leads Spurs in xG at 2.78.

I think Spurs are a great team to invest in this week, with a great fixture on paper. Hence why I have tripled up on them.

MICHAIL ANTONIO

  • Price = £6.5m
  • Ownership = 10.9%
  • Projected points = 5.83 points

Antonio is my final choice for the starting 11 this week, with a home fixture against Leeds. Leeds are not a great defensive team in terms of clean sheets, with just 2 in their last 10 matches. Antonio on the other hand is in great form, with the highest xG in the league over the last 5 games at 3.86

In a game which I expect Leeds to concede, I am backing Antonio to grab a return considering his hot form.

Man vs. Machine – Who will win?

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is https___blogs-images.forbes.com_bernardmarr_files_2019_07_adobestock_152392992-1200x800-1.jpg

Now you have seen our teams, who do you think will win this week? Man vs. Machine!

Will I win 2 in a row, or will Algo tie it up again?

Become a member at Foomni with a 20% discount!

Want to sign up Algo as your Assistant Manager?

Use CONNECT2021 code on Foomni Analytics website for a 20% discount on their Premium Season Pass. Code is valid until the end of the season!

OR

Use CONNECTLT2021 code on Foomni Analytics website for a 20% discount on their Lifetime Membership. Code is valid until the end of the season!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Start a Blog at WordPress.com.

Up ↑

<span>%d</span> bloggers like this: