Predicting the Dream Team – Fix vs.Texan (Gameweek 4)

Hello, and welcome to the 4th edition of this season’s Predicting the Dream Team brought to you by me, FPL Texan. In this article, we preview FPL Gameweek 4 of the 2021/2022 season.

In this series, I go head-to-head each week with Fantasy Football Fix to see who can select the best team of the week, their algorithm or myself. It is a classic battle of man vs. machine!

Let’s see who won last week’s matchup…

ManagerGameweek PointsOverall PointsH2H Score
FPL Texan672572
Fantasy Football Fix Algorithm 642541

As you can see, I have won this one in another close battle!

The main pick was my selection of Son, who scored 10 FPL points.

Moving on to Gameweek 4, let’s take a look at Fix’s team.

Fix’s Predicted Team of the Week

Please note that this team is accurate as of Thursday 9th September. However, the algorithm team updates right up until deadline with news from press conferences and potential injuries.

Therefore, to stay completely up to date with the algorithm team, you can check it yourself just before the deadline at FantasyFootballFix.com.

Next, we will look at my predicted team of the week, and reasonings behind each decision.

Texan’s Predicted Team of the Week

Important note before we begin – this is not my actual team for Gameweek 4, but instead my predicted team of the week (almost as though I had a free hit to choose as I wish).

ROBERT SANCHEZ

  • Price: £4.5m
  • Ownership: 24.4%
  • Projected Points: 3.9 Points

Sanchez makes a return to the team of the week for GW4. Brighton face newly promoted side Brentford, who have looked very good to start the season with 5 points from their first 3 games. For the first three games, they rank a respectable 13th in the league for xG. Brighton defence has been ok this season, ranking 12th in xGA, but with the return of Veltman to the squad I expect the defence to improve. Sanchez is not known for his save points, averaging 2 saves per game.

At his price, Sanchez is the best option with the best fixture of the 4.5 keepers, so he makes the team of the week this week.

NELSON SEMEDO

  • Price: £4.9m
  • Ownership: 1.9%
  • Projected Points: 3.9 Points

Semedo is the first of my two Wolves player this week with a nice matchup against Watford. Wolves defense has been strong to start the season, ranking 3rd best in xGA at 2.9. This is quite impressive considering their fixtures to start the season. Watford’s attack has not been great, with the 3rd lowest in xG. Semedo is also offering a good attacking potential in Lage’s formation. He is frequently in and around the box, and ranks second on the team in successful passes in the final third per 90mins at 14.

Wolves and Semedo have perhaps been rather unlucky in terms of FPL points and results, but I think that will change starting this week against Watford.

TRENT ALEXANDER-ARNOLD

  • Price: £7.5m
  • Ownership: 33.6%
  • Projected Points: 4.5 Points

Trent returns to the team of the week this week. Liverpool face Leeds this week, who are middle of the road in terms of xG to start the season at 11th in the league. Liverpool’s defense has been strong thus far as expected, ranking 5th best in xGA. Trent also offers so much attacking potential, ranking 2nd amongst defenders in the league for xA per 90 at 0.45, and 5th for successful final third passes per 90 at 19.67. Trent has also averaged 7.03 xFPL points per 90, ranking 4th amongst defenders.

Trent is in great form, so he’s a no brainer in the team of the week.

LUKE SHAW

  • Price: £5.5m
  • Ownership: 46.4%
  • Projected Points: 4.4 Points

Shaw rounds out the defence this week. United face a Newcastle team that ranks 11th in xG to start the season, whilst United defence has also been middle of the road, at 9th best in xGA. Like Trent, FPL managers have Luke Shaw for his attacking potential. Shaw ranks 4th on the team for xA per 90 at 0.15, and first for successful crosses per 90 at 1.33. Shaw being the main crossing player bodes well for him as a future asset with the addition of CR7, who scores a lot of his goals from good service into the box.

The addition of CR7 makes Shaw an even more appealing option this week, so he makes the team of the week.

SAÏD BENRAHMA

  • Price: £6.4m
  • Ownership: 30.5%
  • Projected Points: 3.8 Points

Benrahma is in the team of the week again this week, as he and West Ham face Southampton. Southampton defence has not been great to start the season, with the 6th worst xGA in the league. West Ham have been on fire to start the season ranking 4th in xG, and Benrahma has been one of the main factors in their success. Benrahma ranks 2nd on the team for xG per 90 at 0.37, and 4th on the team in xA per 90 at 0.24. He also ranks second on the team for xFPL points per 90 at 6.28

West Ham and Benrahma are on fire in attack, so Benrahma makes the team of the week.

ADAMA TRAORE

  • Price: £6.0m
  • Ownership: 2.8%
  • Projected Points: 3.5 Points

Traore rounds out the Wolves double up this week. Wolves have been very good offensively, and quite unlucky to have not scored yet this season as they rank 7th in xG. Watford’s defence has been middle of the road, with the 11th best xGA in the league. Traore’s underlying stats have been great, ranking 7th amongst midfielders for xG per 90 at 0.53, and 10th amongst midfielders in xA per 90 at 0.32. He is also vastly underperforming his xFPL points, with a projected xFPL of 6.10 per 90, but an actual FPL points of 2 per 90.

Traore and Wolves have been unlucky to start the season offensively, but I think that their fortune will start to turn in their favour starting this week against Watford.

MOHAMED SALAH

  • Price: £12.5m
  • Ownership: 53.3%
  • Projected Points: 6.0 Points

Salah is back in the team this week. He and Liverpool have a matchup against Leeds, who rank 7th worst in xGA in the league. This bodes well for a Liverpool side that are in great form to start the season, ranking 2nd in the league for xG at 7.6. Salah has been one of the main factors for their success in front of goal, ranking tied 1st on the team for xG per 90 at 0.49. Salah is also ranked 2nd on the team for xA per 90 at 0.36 showing that if there’s a goal for Liverpool, its a good bet that Salah is involved somehow.

Salah is in great form, so he’s a must in the team of the week this week.

MASON MOUNT

  • Price: £7.5m
  • Ownership: 17.3%
  • Projected Points: 3.9 Points

Mount rounds out the midfield this week. Chelsea face a Villa side this week who rank 7th best in the league for xGA to start the season. One of the main reasons for this is their great keeper Emi Martinez, but with him having to miss this game due to quarantining, Chelsea assets become even more appealing than before. Chelsea rank 6th in xG to start the season, with Mount being a big factor in those stats. Mount ranks 4th on the team in xG per 90 at 0.21 and second in xA per 90 at 0.39.

Mount and Chelsea have been in good form to start the season, and with Emi missing the game Mount is a must in the team of the week.

MICHAIL ANTONIO

  • Price: £7.9m
  • Ownership: 50.7%
  • Projected Points: 5.9 Points

Antonio starts out the forward line this week. The team stats were discussed in the Benrahma section, so moving on to Antonio specifically, he is arguably the most in form player in the league to start the season with 4 goals and 4 assists in his first 3 games. He ranks first in the league at xG per 90 at 1.08, and is first in xA per 90 at 0.48. Unsurprisingly, he also ranks first in xFPL points at 10.46 per 90.

Antonio is in the form of his life, so he is an absolute must in the team of the week.

CRISTIANO RONALDO (C)

  • Price: £12.5m
  • Ownership: 17.8%
  • Projected Points: 7.6 Points

Ronaldo is my captain selection this week (feels weird to type that). Newcastle have been poor defensively to start the season, with the second worst xGA to start the season. This bodes well for United and Ronaldo, who are middle of the road in xG at 11th. We all know how good Ronaldo is, even at the later stages of his career, with a league leading 29 goals last season in Serie A with an xG of 29.46.

Ronaldo is back in the Premier League, and I think he will kick it off with great performance against Newcastle, so he’s my captaincy selection this week.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

  • Price: £8.2m
  • Ownership: 15.0%
  • Projected Points: 4.7 Points

DCL is the final selection this week, with a nice matchup against Burnley. Burnley have been poor defensively to start the season, with the 4th worst xGA in the league. Everton have been great offensively with the 3rd best xG in the league. DCL has been one of the main factors for Everton’s offensive success, with the second best xG in the league at 1.04 per 90. He also ranks second in xFPL points per 90 at 8.36. There is a slight doubt he is injured at the time of writing this, but I think he should be ok. If he were not to play, Hojbjerg would replace him off my bench.

DCL is in great form and has a great matchup, so he is an easy addition to the team of the week.

Man vs. Machine, Who will win?

Now you have seen our teams, who do you think will win this week? Man or Machine?

Let us know in the comments who you think will win!

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More to Come

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